Crisis Talk - The World Bank Group

The Double-Edged Sword of Emerging Market Growth

The Economist has two interesting articles this week about capital flows in India. The Indian government is currently confronted with the a challenge of nurturing the growth of India's financial markets and multinationals, while mitigating the risks of excessive "hot money" flowing into the economy.

Proponents of capital controls point to India's success in avoiding the worst of the Asian financial crisis in the late 1990s and the current crisis, which was in part achieved by limiting the amount of money flowing in and out of the economy (for example, foreigners are limited in the amount of local bonds they can purchase).

Yet, India remains a sponge for foreign capital. The Economist notes that foreigners have invested $13.8 bn in India’s stockmarkets since April, having withdrawn $8.6 billion over the same period last year. The Sensex, India’s most widely watched stockmarket index, has surged by almost 100% since its March lows.

Advocates of a stricter capital controls are facing a strong resistance from the market...

Crisis Roundup

European exports declined by 5.8 percent last month, the biggest drop since last January.

Understanding the European Central Bank means looking at its individual members.

The economic blogosphere really is a remarkable resource.

Bloggers at the IMF's ask, Did Islamic Banks in the Gulf Do Better Than Conventional Ones in the Crisis?

Did economic theory actually do a good job of predicting the crisis?

Greg Mankiw ♥ VAT.

Thoughts on exit strategies from one of China's prominent market economists.

Does China have a dollar problem?

Still confused about the dollar? Why do many of Asia's currency remain weak? Why are the euro and yen so strong, when their respective economies look weak? Bilal Hafeez, global head of foreign exchange research at Deutsche Bank is fielding questions from readers, which he will answer on Monday October 19.

Tweets of the Day: Istanbul Edition

Here are the latest updates from the World Bank/IMF meetings from our Tweeter-in-Chief, Neil Gregory:

nfgregory: In Istanbul for World Bank annual meetings - focus this year on post-crisis economic recovery. First impressions - mood mostly bullish.

nfgregory: importance of developing local capital markets, local funding. Can still benefit from skills of international banks, but with local funding

nfgregory: Protectionism, restrictions on capital flows mean that economies like Egypt need to rely more on domestic demand, domestic capital markets

nfgregory: Entrepreneurship key to new job creation. Governments supporting through deregulation, venture capital, local equity market development.

You can follow all of Neil's Tweets here, or from our World Bank PSD Twitter page.

More Tweets after the jump...

Doing Business 2010: Reforming through Difficult Times

The World Bank Group has released its annual Doing Business Report, which provides quantitative measures of regulations of the life cycle of a small or medium-size enterprise. Regulations related to registering property, employing workers, dealing with construction permits, and paying taxes are measured. Getting electricity and worker protection were added to this year's metrics.

In spite (or because) of the crisis, governments worked hard at improving the business climates within their borders:

In 2008/09 more governments implemented regulatory reforms aimed at making it easier to do business than in any year since 2004, when Doing Business started to track reforms through its indicators. Doing Business recorded 287 such reforms in 131 economies between June 2008 and May 2009, 20% more than in the year before.

Reformers focused on making it easier to start and operate a business, strengthening property rights and improving the efficiency of commercial dispute resolution and bankruptcy procedures.

The Middle East Gets Down to (Insolvency) Business

Ten Middle Eastern countries have just signed a joint declaration to work on improving their insolvency regimes. Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya, Oman, West Bank and Gaza, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, and United Arab Emirates met in Abu Dhabi earlier in the week and agreed to (excerpt):

ENCOURAGE policy makers, legislators and regulators to acknowledge the benefits of a well-functioning insolvency regime and work towards building and addressing the legal, regulatory and institutional frameworks necessary for sound insolvency regimes in the region;

ENGAGE market practitioners such as accountants, lawyers, insolvency professionals to work with policy makers to build the suitable infrastructure necessary for a sound insolvency regime--including the necessary regulatory architecture of insolvency practitioners;

STRENGTHEN the institutional framework of regulators and judiciary, and enhance their capacities necessary for effective and efficient implementation of insolvency laws;

RECOGNIZE the specific assistance being provided by the World Bank in the form of direct technical assistance to: (1) Improve insolvency legislation; (2) Build frameworks for out of court resolution of insolvency cases; and (3) Increase domestic capacity to effectively regulate insolvency practitioners all of which has the aim of, inter alia, reducing the time and cost associated with insolvency proceedings; and

ESTABLISH a Regional Forum on insolvency and creditor rights which will aim to engage, educate, and inform more stakeholders into the reform process and will serve as a platform for sharing of international and regional best practices on both policy and infrastructure areas on insolvency and creditor rights.