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September 23, 2009

Better Credit for Brazil

Yesterday, I analyzed the prospects for decoupling during the recovery. Will a robust emerging market rebound boost OECD growth? Or, are we due to see a multi-speed global recovery? The rise of emerging market IPOs, and its positive influence on IPO markets in developed economies, provides one data point in favor of the first theory. Today's news from Brazil may support the second. 

Moody's announced that it has elevated Brazil's credit rating to investment grade. The ratings agency described Brazil as a "winner", primarily because of its quick rebound from the recession, and strong growth potential for the future. This in an important step for Brazil, as it allows many institutional investors, who are forbidden from investing in "junk" debt, the opportunity to invest in Brazilian bonds.

Which country is next?

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